34277 Y65 Even if we disregard the fate of slum-

Q&@

DWELLERS,
IT IS FAR FROM CLEAR
THAT WE SHOULD BE AIMING
AT IMMORTALITY, BLISS AND DIVINITY?!
Adopting these particular projects might be a big mistake? But history is full of mistakes!
Given our past record and our current values, we are likely to reach out for bliss, divinity &
immortality - even if it kills us... Thirdly, reaching out is not the same as obtaining! History is
often shaped by exaggerated hopes!? Twentieth-century Russian history was largely shaped by
the communist attempt to overcome inequality, but it didn't succeed! Harari's prediction is fó-
cussed on whàt humankind wìll TRY to achieve in this 21st century - nòt what it will SUCCEED
achieving. Our future economy, society and politics will be shaped by the attempt to overcome
death. It does nòt follow that in 2100 húmans wìll bé immortal! Fourthly, and most importantly,
this prediction is lèss of a prophecy and móre a way of discussing our present choices..... If the
discussion makes us choose differently, so that the prediction is proven wrong, all the better.......
For what's the point of making predictions if they cannot change anything? Some complex systems,
such as the weather, are oblivious to our predictions. The process of human development, in contrast,
REACTS TO THEM! Indeed, the better our forecasts, the more reactions they engender. Hence paradox-
ically, as we accumulate more data and increase our computing power, events become wilder and more
unexpected. The more we know, the less we can predict. Imagine, for example, that one day experts
decipher the basic laws of economy. Once this happens, banks, governments, investors & customers
wìll begin to use this new knowledge to act in novel ways, & gain an edge over their competitors:
for what is the use of new knowledge if it doesn't léad tó novel behaviours?
28 mrt 2019 - bewerkt op 03 apr 2019 - meld ongepast verhaal
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